# Identifying and Cultivating Superforecasters as a Method of Improving Probabilistic Predictions

**Type:** Papers  
**Canonical URL:** https://picoportal.org/library/papers/identifying-and-cultivating-superforecasters-as-a-method-of-improving/

## Facts

| Field | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Author Names | Barbara A. Mellers,Eric Stone,Terry Murray,Angela Minster,Nick Rohrbaugh,Michaël Bishop,Eva E. Chen,Joshua F. Baker,Yuan Hang Hou,Michael C. Horowitz,Lyle Ungar,Philip E. Tetlock |
| Citations | 244 |
| DOI | 10.1177/1745691615577794 |
| Fields | Decision Sciences,Social Sciences |
| Open Access | false |
| OA Status | closed |
| OpenAlex ID | https://openalex.org/W2165949980 |
| PMID | 25987508 |
| Type | article |
| Year | 2015 |

## Paper authors

- [Michael C. Horowitz](https://picoportal.org/library/researchers/michael-c-horowitz/)
- [Lyle Ungar](https://picoportal.org/library/researchers/lyle-ungar/)

## Paper journal

- [Perspectives on Psychological Science](https://picoportal.org/library/journals/perspectives-on-psychological-science/)

## Paper primary topic

- [Forecasting Techniques and Applications](https://picoportal.org/library/topics/forecasting-techniques-and-applications/)

## Paper topics

- [Forecasting Techniques and Applications](https://picoportal.org/library/topics/forecasting-techniques-and-applications/)
- [Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics](https://picoportal.org/library/topics/decision-making-and-behavioral-economics/)
- [Innovation, Sustainability, Human-Machine Systems](https://picoportal.org/library/topics/innovation-sustainability-human-machine-systems/)

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Source: PICO Portal — public research metadata, principally OpenAlex. See https://picoportal.org/library/sources/ for provenance and https://picoportal.org/library/methodology/ for what these figures mean.